Posts

June’s new home sales; unemployment claims at a 56+ year low

(the above is the synopsis that accompanied my regular sunday morning news links emailing, which in turn was mostly selected from my weekly blog post on the global glass onion…if you’d be interested in receiving my weekly emailing of selected links, most of which are chosen from the aforementioned GGO posts, contact me…) The only widely watched report released last week was the June report on new home sales from the Census bureau…. but the week also saw the release of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) for June , a weighted composite index of 85 different economic metrics, which came in at to –0.02 in June, up from a downwardly revised –0.19 in May, in an index where any negative reading indicates economic activity has been below the historical trend…that left the more often cited three month average of the index at -0.05 in June, up from a revised -0.10 in May, indicating that national economic activity has continued to be slightly below the historical trend ov...
Post a Comment
Read more

June’s consumer and producer prices, retail sales, industrial production, & new housing starts; May’s business inventories

Image
Major reports that were released this week included the June Consumer Price Index , the June Producer Price Index , and the June Import-Export Price Index , all from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Retail Sales Report for June , the June report on New Residential Construction and the Business Sales and Inventories Report for May , all from the Census Bureau, and the June report on Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization from the Fed… This week also saw the release of the first two Fed regional manufacturing reports for July: the Empire State Manufacturing Survey from the New York Fed, which covers New York state, southwestern Connecticut, northern New Jersey, reported their headline general business conditions index rose from +5.7 in June to +15.6 in July, indicating that a significantly larger plurality of Second District manufacturers saw improving business conditions during the month, while the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Outlook Survey , covering most of Pennsy...
Post a Comment
Read more

May’s trade deficit and wholesale inventories; June’s existing home sales

Last week’s major economic releases included the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s report on our International Trade for May , the May report on Wholesale Trade, Sales and Inventories from the Census Bureau, and the June report on existing home sales from the National Association of Realtors (NAR)…the week also saw the Consumer Credit Report for May from the Fed, which indicated that total non-real estate consumer debt outstanding was virtually unchanged in May, as non-revolving credit grew at a 1.6% rate to $3,810.3 billion, while revolving credit outstanding shrunk at a 4.7% rate to $1,344.2 billion… The most widely watched private report released last week was the June Services ISM Report On Business from the Institute for Supply Management, which saw their ISM Services index slip to 54.0% in June, down from a reading of 54.5% in May, indicating that a slightly smaller plurality of service industry purchasing managers reported improving conditions in various facets of their business...
Post a Comment
Read more

June’s jobs report; May’s construction spending, factory inventories, and JOLTS

Major agency economic reports released last week included the Employment Situation Summary for June and the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for May, both from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and two May reports that will input data into 2nd quarter GDP: the May report on Construction Spending and the Full Report on Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories and Orders for May , both from the Census Bureau…the week also saw the results from the last regional Fed manufacturing survey for June: the Dallas Fed’s Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey , which also covers adjacent western Louisiana and southeastern New Mexico, reported its general business activity index slipped to 0.0 in June from +0.4 in May, with the zero and the near-zero readings indicating almost no change in manufacturing business activity from April, when a small plurality of Texas businesses had reported worsening business metrics than in March.. Privately issued reports released this week included the ADP ...
Post a Comment
Read more

1st Quarter GDP Revision, May’s Personal Income and Outlays, Durable Goods, and New Home Sales

The key economic releases last week were the 3rd estimate of 1st quarter GDP from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the May report on Personal Income and Spending , also from the BEA, which includes two months of 2nd quarter data on personal consumption expenditures and hence accounts for 47% of 2nd quarter GDP….the week’s other widely watched releases included the May advance report on durable goods , and the May report on new home sales , both from the Census bureau….in addition, this week the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary for May , which breaks down the two employment surveys from the monthly national jobs report by state and region….while the text of that report provides a useful summary of this data, the serious statistical aggregation can be found in the tables linked at the end of the report, where one can find the civilian labor force data and the change in payrolls by industry for each of the 50 states, the Di...
Post a Comment
Read more